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Florida St at Miami (FL) : Box Score Simulation

Sunday Feb 26, 2012 6:00 pm - Coral Gables, FL
Odds: Miami-Florida by 1.5, Total Points: 128

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring FSU MIFL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FSU MIFL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 53.0
Field Goal % 45.3% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 35.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 21.6
Free Throw % 69.0% 70.6%
Ball Control FSU MIFL
Rebounds 35.1 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.6
Turnovers 10.2 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.6
Steals 6.5 4.8
Fouls 16.1 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FSU MIFL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FSU MIFL
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 21.4%
Player Fouled 21.7% 23.3%
Turnover 14.7% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FSU MIFL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 27.6%