Florida St at Florida: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 22, 2011 7:00 pm - Gainesville, FL
Odds: Florida by 9, Total Points: 137

More Games From Dec 22, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring FSU FLA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FSU FLA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 52.6
Field Goal % 42.1% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 34.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 18.6
Free Throw % 74.6% 72.3%
Ball Control FSU FLA
Rebounds 33.9 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 9.0
Turnovers 11.6 14.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.0
Steals 6.6 4.4
Fouls 15.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FSU FLA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FSU FLA
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 26.7%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.4%
Turnover 16.7% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken FSU FLA
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 28.0%