Florida St at Duke : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 21, 2012 4:00 pm - Durham, NC
Odds: Duke by 10.5, Total Points: 144.5

More Games From Jan 21, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring FSU DUKE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FSU DUKE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 64.2 60.1
Field Goal % 45.8% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 48.1 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 38.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 24.1
Free Throw % 70.0% 70.9%
Ball Control FSU DUKE
Rebounds 37.5 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 11.0
Turnovers 11.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.5
Steals 5.0 4.4
Fouls 18.2 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FSU DUKE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FSU DUKE
2 Point Attempt 55.0% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 18.4% 29.2%
Player Fouled 20.1% 24.8%
Turnover 15.0% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FSU DUKE
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 30.6%