Wagner at U Penn: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 22, 2011 7:00 pm - Philadelphia, PA
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

More Games From Nov 22, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG PENN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WAG PENN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 55.2
Field Goal % 38.4% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.0 27.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.2% 62.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 27.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 37.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 20.9
Free Throw % 73.3% 68.1%
Ball Control WAG PENN
Rebounds 34.0 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.5
Turnovers 10.7 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.0
Steals 6.5 5.1
Fouls 16.2 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG PENN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WAG PENN
2 Point Attempt 53.9% 34.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 34.1%
Player Fouled 16.8% 22.7%
Turnover 14.9% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG PENN
Shot Blocked 5.6% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 27.0%