coin-dollar notification2 facebook2 twitter2 football
Football premium packages for 2015-16 are now on sale: View Packages

NC-Wilmgton at Georgia St

  Thursday Jan 12, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Atlanta, GA | Odds: Georgia St by 13, Total Points: 132.5 | Team Pages: UNCW | GAST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCW GAST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting UNCW GAST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 50.9
Field Goal % 37.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 38.6% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 10.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 30.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 27.4
Free Throw % 68.8% 72.2%

Ball Control UNCW GAST
Rebounds 34.2 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 9.7
Turnovers 12.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.1
Steals 4.7 8.3
Fouls 17.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCW GAST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with UNCW GAST
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 13.6%
Player Fouled 23.4% 26.1%
Turnover 19.0% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 12.3% 7.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken UNCW GAST
Shot Blocked 8.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 34.4% 31.1%