NC-Wilmgton at Northeastrn : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 4, 2012 7:00 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Northeastern by 6.5, Total Points: 134

More Games From Jan 4, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UNCW NEAS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 51.8
Field Goal % 43.1% 53.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 44.5 28.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 63.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 42.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 23.7
Free Throw % 69.3% 74.0%
Ball Control UNCW NEAS
Rebounds 33.4 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 5.9
Turnovers 11.7 12.6
Blocked Shots 1.7 1.7
Steals 5.4 5.7
Fouls 17.4 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCW NEAS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UNCW NEAS
2 Point Attempt 52.2% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 18.4% 29.2%
Player Fouled 21.8% 23.8%
Turnover 16.1% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCW NEAS
Shot Blocked 3.3% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 21.2%