NC-Wilmgton vs. Drexel: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Mar 3, 2012 12:00 pm - Richmond, VA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Drexel by 13, Total Points: 125

More Games From Mar 3, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UNCW DREX
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 55.8
Field Goal % 41.6% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 31.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 17.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 70.2%
Ball Control UNCW DREX
Rebounds 32.0 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 10.2
Turnovers 9.9 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.4
Steals 6.3 5.2
Fouls 15.6 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCW DREX
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UNCW DREX
2 Point Attempt 53.2% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 25.3%
Player Fouled 20.9% 22.6%
Turnover 14.4% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCW DREX
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 29.4%