NC-Wilmgton vs. W Carolina: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 25, 2020 4:00 pm - Asheville, NC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Western Carolina by 4.5, Total Points: 157

More Games From Nov 25, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCW WCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UNCW WCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 57.0
Field Goal % 43.4% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 27.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 31.2 23.1
Free Throw % 77.0% 72.9%
Ball Control UNCW WCU
Rebounds 36.0 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.8
Turnovers 11.2 14.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.4
Steals 6.1 4.4
Fouls 19.8 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCW WCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UNCW WCU
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 23.9%
Player Fouled 25.1% 25.7%
Turnover 14.6% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCW WCU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 25.1%