S Illinois at Evansville: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 5, 2020 7:00 pm - Evansville, IN
Odds: Southern Illinois by 4, Total Points: 129

More Games From Feb 5, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIU EVAN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SIU EVAN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 47.0 52.4
Field Goal % 48.2% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 22.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.7 29.6
3 Point Shooting % 45.6% 40.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 12.0
Free Throw % 74.5% 74.7%
Ball Control SIU EVAN
Rebounds 29.2 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 3.6 5.8
Turnovers 10.0 10.5
Blocked Shots 1.4 4.0
Steals 4.9 4.3
Fouls 14.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIU EVAN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SIU EVAN
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 32.0%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 41.6%
Player Fouled 23.6% 21.6%
Turnover 15.5% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIU EVAN
Shot Blocked 7.7% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 13.5% 18.6%