Gard-Webb at N Carolina: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 15, 2019 9:00 pm - Chapel Hill, NC
Odds: North Carolina by 26.5, Total Points: 149.5

More Games From Nov 15, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEBB UNC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WEBB UNC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 62.5
Field Goal % 40.1% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 31.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 24.1
Free Throw % 68.1% 70.1%
Ball Control WEBB UNC
Rebounds 32.8 45.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 14.6
Turnovers 11.1 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.2
Steals 5.5 5.3
Fouls 16.0 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEBB UNC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WEBB UNC
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 21.3%
Player Fouled 18.0% 22.0%
Turnover 15.2% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEBB UNC
Shot Blocked 6.9% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 37.2%