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Toledo at Syracuse: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 22, 2017 7:00 pm - Syracuse, NY
Odds: Syracuse by 12, Total Points: 144

Matchup Menu: TOL @ SYR

More Games From Nov 22, 2017

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOL SYR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TOL SYR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 58.9
Field Goal % 47.3% 56.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 65.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 37.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 18.1
Free Throw % 74.2% 72.8%
Ball Control TOL SYR
Rebounds 31.4 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 6.9
Turnovers 12.5 10.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 5.2
Steals 5.9 8.3
Fouls 14.1 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOL SYR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TOL SYR
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 22.9%
Player Fouled 19.4% 19.0%
Turnover 17.0% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOL SYR
Shot Blocked 8.8% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 24.2%