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Toledo at Buffalo: Recap
Saturday Mar 1, 2025 4:30 pm -
Buffalo, NY
Odds:
Toledo by 7,
Total Points:
159.5
Matchup Menu: TOL @ BUFF
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | TOL | 77.5% | ||
| BUFF | 22.5% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL -7.5 | TOL | 53.4% | ||
| BUFF | 46.6% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 160.5 | Over | 53.9% | ||
| Under | 46.1% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL -306 | TOL | +2.1% | ||
| BUFF | -6.0% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 85.4 | 84.0 | 74 |
| BUFF | 77.0 | 76.5 | 87 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TOL | BUFF |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 79.8 | 77.5 |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.3 | +0.5 |
| Assists/Game | 15.5 | 14.1 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 32.9 | 31.3 |
| Effective FG % | 54.5% | 55.4% |
| Off Rebound % | 27.1% | 25.6% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.305 | 0.395 |
| Turnover % | 12.9% | 14.3% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TOL | BUFF |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 77.4 | 77.0 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 54.4% | 55.1% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 8.4 | 7.5 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 20.8 | 20.8 |
| Blocks/Game | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Steals/Game | 7.6 | 7.6 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 15.2 | 16.1 |