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CS Bakersfld vs. TX-Pan Am: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Mar 14, 2019 5:30 pm - Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site)
Odds: Texas Rio Grande Valley by 1.5, Total Points: 133.5

More Games From Mar 14, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CSBK UTPA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 48.1
Field Goal % 42.9% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 34.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 33.3
Free Throw % 67.9% 70.1%
Ball Control CSBK UTPA
Rebounds 39.4 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 7.6
Turnovers 14.6 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.5
Steals 5.6 6.8
Fouls 23.3 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSBK UTPA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CSBK UTPA
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 18.4%
Player Fouled 24.0% 32.1%
Turnover 20.1% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSBK UTPA
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 38.1% 22.9%