CS Bakersfld at Idaho : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 17, 2011 10:05 pm - Moscow, ID
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

More Games From Dec 17, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CSBK IDHO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 49.7
Field Goal % 36.9% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 27.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 24.6% 39.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 20.1
Free Throw % 70.4% 73.0%
Ball Control CSBK IDHO
Rebounds 31.3 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 8.8
Turnovers 11.3 13.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 1.7
Steals 4.8 4.0
Fouls 18.0 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSBK IDHO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CSBK IDHO
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 36.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 28.2%
Player Fouled 26.1% 26.7%
Turnover 16.8% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSBK IDHO
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 28.3%