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CS Bakersfield at UC Riverside: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 19, 2026 10:00 pm - Riverside, CA
Odds: UC Riverside by 7, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: CSB @ UCRV

More Games From Feb 19, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB UCRV
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CSB UCRV
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 58.1
Field Goal % 42.3% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.9 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 12.9 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 35.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 30.8 26.5
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.8%
Ball Control CSB UCRV
Rebounds 35.7 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.2
Turnovers 11.0 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.6
Steals 6.8 5.2
Fouls 17.6 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB UCRV
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CSB UCRV
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 14.6% 24.3%
Player Fouled 25.3% 23.2%
Turnover 14.6% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB UCRV
Shot Blocked 8.1% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 30.9%