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CS Bakersfld at Utah St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Mar 14, 2012 9:00 pm - Logan, UT
Odds: Utah St. by 10.5, Total Points: 133

Matchup Menu: CSB @ USU

More Games From Mar 14, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB USU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CSB USU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 48.4
Field Goal % 39.5% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.9 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.3% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.4 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 34.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 31.7
Free Throw % 73.0% 72.5%
Ball Control CSB USU
Rebounds 32.1 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 7.9
Turnovers 11.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.8
Steals 5.5 6.0
Fouls 20.9 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB USU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CSB USU
2 Point Attempt 53.6% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 17.6% 21.2%
Player Fouled 20.6% 30.0%
Turnover 16.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB USU
Shot Blocked 8.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 26.6%