Mass Lowell at St Peters: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 20, 2023 7:00 pm - Jersey City, NJ
Odds: Massachusetts Lowell by 5.5, Total Points: 129.5

More Games From Nov 20, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UMASS SPU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 48.1 61.5
Field Goal % 46.6% 36.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 43.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 38.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 30.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 19.9
Free Throw % 75.1% 72.7%
Ball Control UMASS SPU
Rebounds 36.3 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 21.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 13.4
Turnovers 14.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.7
Steals 5.9 7.7
Fouls 14.8 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMASS SPU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UMASS SPU
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 17.5% 20.7%
Player Fouled 27.3% 21.0%
Turnover 20.1% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMASS SPU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 32.2%