Mass Lowell at Vermont: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 25, 2020 7:00 pm - Burlington, VT
Odds: Vermont by 16.5, Total Points: 144

More Games From Jan 25, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMASS UVM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UMASS UVM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 61.3
Field Goal % 41.3% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 31.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 17.1
Free Throw % 74.3% 71.9%
Ball Control UMASS UVM
Rebounds 39.3 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.9 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 8.0
Turnovers 10.3 8.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.9
Steals 5.0 6.6
Fouls 13.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMASS UVM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UMASS UVM
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 30.4%
Player Fouled 20.8% 19.2%
Turnover 14.6% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMASS UVM
Shot Blocked 8.2% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 21.0%