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Mass Lowell at Ohio St: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 29, 2020 12:00 pm - Columbus, OH
Odds: Ohio St. by 27.5, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: UMASS @ OSU

More Games From Nov 29, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMASS OSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UMASS OSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 64.3
Field Goal % 38.9% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.7 45.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 31.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 21.4
Free Throw % 74.3% 75.2%
Ball Control UMASS OSU
Rebounds 36.0 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.1
Turnovers 11.9 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 6.2
Steals 4.6 6.7
Fouls 15.6 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMASS OSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UMASS OSU
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 51.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 22.1%
Player Fouled 21.5% 21.2%
Turnover 16.2% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMASS OSU
Shot Blocked 9.8% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 32.2%