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Maryland BC at LSU: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 19, 2019 7:00 pm - Baton Rouge, LA
Odds: Louisiana State by 17.5, Total Points: 143.5

Matchup Menu: UMBC @ LSU

More Games From Nov 19, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMBC LSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UMBC LSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.0 66.6
Field Goal % 43.7% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 35.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 21.6
Free Throw % 67.9% 73.3%
Ball Control UMBC LSU
Rebounds 32.8 43.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 12.9
Turnovers 13.2 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.7
Steals 4.8 9.0
Fouls 13.4 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMBC LSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UMBC LSU
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 27.6%
Player Fouled 16.9% 17.4%
Turnover 17.1% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMBC LSU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 33.9%