This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

UMBC at Dayton: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Nov 8, 2025 2:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 25.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: UMBC @ DAY

More Games From Nov 8, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Dayton -25.5 Official TR Pick Dayton 54% odds to cover
Dayton -25.5 Decision Tree Dayton 55% odds to cover
UMBC +25.5 Power Rating Model UMBC 88% odds to cover
UMBC +25.5 Similar Games UMBC 56% odds to cover
UMBC +25.5 Predictive Ratings UMBC 64% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UMBC adv DAY
Season 19-12-0 18-19-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 14-5-0 10-11-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 8-2-0 6-4-0
Home 9-6-0 8-10-0
Away 10-6-0 10-9-0

UMBC Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Penn St.-York -- W by 21 --
11/08 Away Dayton +25.5 L by 6 +19.5
11/11 Away Morgan St -4.0 W by 2 -2.0
11/16 Home Wagner -6.0 W by 1 -5.0
11/19 Away G Washington +22.0 L by 37 -15.0
11/24 Home Notre Dame (MD) -- W by 50 --
11/29 Home Delaware St -12.5 W by 14 +1.5
12/03 Away Georgetown +19.5 L by 9 +10.5
12/06 Away Bucknell +2.0 W by 7 +9.0
12/09 Home Buffalo +3.0 L by 4 -1.0
12/12 Home Army -8.0 L by 3 -11.0
12/21 Away S Florida +22.5 L by 25 -2.5
12/29 Away Coppin St -10.5 W by 34 +23.5
01/08 Home Maine -8.0 W by 7 -1.0
01/10 Home New Hampshire -6.5 W by 1 -5.5
01/15 Away Bryant -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
01/19 Away Binghamton -4.0 W by 18 +14.0
01/22 Home NJIT -6.5 W by 13 +6.5
01/24 Home UMass Lowell -2.5 W by 23 +20.5
01/29 Away Vermont +6.5 L by 9 -2.5
01/31 Away Albany (Pick) W by 3 +3.0
02/05 Home Binghamton -12.5 W by 17 +4.5
02/12 Away Maine -3.5 W by 16 +12.5
02/14 Away New Hampshire -3.5 W by 22 +18.5
02/19 Home Vermont +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
02/21 Home Albany -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/26 Home Bryant -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
02/28 Away UMass Lowell -2.5 W by 24 +21.5
03/03 Away NJIT -4.5 W by 39 +34.5
03/07 Home New Hampshire -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
03/10 Home UMass Lowell -7.5 W by 22 +14.5
03/14 Home Vermont -3.5 W by 15 +11.5
03/17 Neutral Howard +1.5 L by 3 -1.5

Dayton Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Canisius -25.5 W by 40 +14.5
11/08 Home UMBC -25.5 W by 6 -19.5
11/11 Away Cincinnati +6.0 L by 12 -6.0
11/15 Home Bethune -21.5 W by 9 -12.5
11/19 Away Marquette +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
11/22 Home NC Central -28.0 W by 19 -9.0
11/27 Neutral Georgetown -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
11/28 Neutral BYU +9.5 L by 4 +5.5
12/02 Home E Tennessee St -11.5 W by 17 +5.5
12/06 Neutral Virginia +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
12/13 Home N Florida -31.5 W by 23 -8.5
12/16 Home Florida St -7.0 W by 28 +21.0
12/20 Home Liberty -9.5 L by 3 -12.5
12/31 Home Fordham -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/03 Away Loyola Chi -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
01/06 Home G Washington -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/13 Away Duquesne -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/16 Home Loyola Chi -16.5 W by 27 +10.5
01/21 Away La Salle -10.5 L by 3 -13.5
01/24 Away Saint Joseph's -6.5 L by 7 -13.5
01/27 Home Rhode Island -8.5 L by 5 -13.5
01/30 Away Saint Louis +9.5 L by 31 -21.5
02/03 Home St Bonaventure -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
02/06 Away VCU +8.5 L by 26 -17.5
02/15 Home Davidson -5.0 W by 11 +6.0
02/18 Away George Mason +2.0 W by 15 +17.0
02/21 Home Duquesne -7.0 W by 12 +5.0
02/24 Home Saint Louis +3.5 W by 15 +18.5
02/27 Away G Washington +2.5 W by 2 +4.5
03/03 Away Richmond -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
03/06 Home VCU -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
03/13 Neutral St Bonaventure -5.5 W by 5 -0.5
03/14 Neutral Saint Louis +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
03/15 Neutral VCU +2.5 L by 8 -5.5
03/18 Away Bradley -2.5 W by 14 +11.5
03/21 Away NC Wilmington -3.5 W by 19 +15.5
03/25 Home Illinois St -7.5 L by 6 -13.5