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UMBC at Dayton: Recap
Saturday Nov 8, 2025 2:00 pm -
Dayton, OH
Odds:
Dayton by 25.5,
Total Points:
154.5
Matchup Menu: UMBC @ DAY
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton | UMBC | 1.1% | ||
| DAY | 98.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAY -25.5 | UMBC | 45.5% | ||
| DAY | 54.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 154.5 | Over | 48.2% | ||
| Under | 51.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pick TBD | UMBC | -- | ||
| DAY | -- | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 63.3 | 64.5 | 71 |
| DAY | 90.4 | 90.0 | 77 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UMBC | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 75.7 | 74.1 |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.1 | +4.8 |
| Assists/Game | 11.9 | 14.2 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 34.5 | 32.9 |
| Effective FG % | 54.1% | 51.6% |
| Off Rebound % | 22.6% | 25.0% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.341 | 0.462 |
| Turnover % | 12.5% | 14.9% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UMBC | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 68.5 | 69.3 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 51.0% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 6.7 | 7.6 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 25.3 | 22.7 |
| Blocks/Game | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| Steals/Game | 4.9 | 8.2 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 13.6 | 16.7 |