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Maryland BC at Delaware: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Dec 5, 2021 2:00 pm - Newark, DE
Odds: Delaware by 6, Total Points: 150

Matchup Menu: UMBC @ DEL

More Games From Dec 5, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMBC DEL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UMBC DEL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 64.0 64.9
Field Goal % 46.4% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 30.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 12.1 17.8
Free Throw % 67.9% 70.4%
Ball Control UMBC DEL
Rebounds 35.2 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 10.3
Turnovers 10.2 9.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.5
Steals 4.3 6.0
Fouls 12.9 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMBC DEL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UMBC DEL
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 27.3%
Player Fouled 16.2% 17.3%
Turnover 13.8% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMBC DEL
Shot Blocked 4.0% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 27.0%