Maryland BC at Fla Gulf Cst: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 9, 2019 3:00 pm - Fort Myers, FL
Odds: Florida Gulf Coast by 1.5, Total Points: 135.5

More Games From Nov 9, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UMBC FGCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 62.0
Field Goal % 40.8% 35.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 41.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 26.5% 26.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 11.6
Free Throw % 70.7% 59.8%
Ball Control UMBC FGCU
Rebounds 41.6 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 12.4
Turnovers 11.9 12.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.1
Steals 5.3 6.6
Fouls 13.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMBC FGCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UMBC FGCU
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 31.6%
Player Fouled 22.7% 18.6%
Turnover 16.9% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMBC FGCU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 29.0%