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Seattle at N Mex State: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 13, 2020 9:00 pm - Las Cruces, NM
Odds: New Mexico St. by 10, Total Points: 134

Matchup Menu: SEA @ NMSU

More Games From Feb 13, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA NMSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SEA NMSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 57.2
Field Goal % 42.3% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 27.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 18.7
Free Throw % 74.7% 65.5%
Ball Control SEA NMSU
Rebounds 39.9 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.7
Turnovers 9.3 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.6
Steals 5.3 4.8
Fouls 15.0 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA NMSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SEA NMSU
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 23.9%
Player Fouled 26.1% 21.4%
Turnover 13.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA NMSU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 22.8%