Arkansas St at Mississippi: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 8, 2019 7:00 pm - Oxford, MS
Odds: Mississippi by 21.5, Total Points: 144

More Games From Nov 8, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARST MISS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ARST MISS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 65.1 60.9
Field Goal % 40.5% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 44.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 39.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 22.2
Free Throw % 70.2% 73.0%
Ball Control ARST MISS
Rebounds 39.6 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 15.1 10.4
Turnovers 9.9 7.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 6.7
Steals 4.4 6.7
Fouls 15.6 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARST MISS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ARST MISS
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 53.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 20.2%
Player Fouled 17.9% 21.8%
Turnover 13.8% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARST MISS
Shot Blocked 11.3% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 36.6% 29.8%