Arkansas St vs. North Texas: Recap

Monday Mar 5, 2012 7:00 pm - Hot Springs, AR (Neutral Site)
Odds: North Texas by 2, Total Points: 129

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
North Texas ARST 41.7%
UNT 58.3%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ARST +1.5 ARST 53.3%
UNT 46.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 127.5 Over 53.6%
Under 46.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
UNT -120 ARST -6.2%
UNT +3.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ARST 65.3 63.0 72
UNT 66.4 64.5 76

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ARST UNT
Points/Game 78.8 68.6
Avg Score Margin +1.8 +4.1
Assists/Game 14.5 10.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 38.4 34.0
Effective FG % 51.5% 50.8%
Off Rebound % 32.7% 30.9%
FTA/FGA 0.329 0.288
Turnover % 13.4% 15.0%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ARST UNT
Opp Points/Game 77.0 64.4
Opp Effective FG % 50.5% 48.0%
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.3 9.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 24.1 21.1
Blocks/Game 4.4 3.0
Steals/Game 5.6 7.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.4 17.0