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Arkansas St vs. North Texas : Recap

Monday Mar 5, 2012 7:00 pm - Hot Springs, AR (Neutral Site)
Odds: North Texas by 1.5, Total Points: 130

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
North Texas ARST 41.7%
NTEX 58.3%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ARST +1.5 ARST 53.3%
NTEX 46.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 127.5 Over 53.6%
Under 46.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
NTEX -120 ARST -6.2%
NTEX +3.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ARST 65.3 63.0 72
NTEX 66.4 64.5 76

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ARST NTEX
Points/Game 72.5 68.5
Avg Score Margin +3.0 -7.8
Assists/Game 12.3 11.2
Total Rebounds/Gm 36.1 35.1
Effective FG % 51.9% 47.3%
Off Rebound % 26.7% 23.9%
FTA/FGA 0.415 0.349
Turnover % 16.2% 16.2%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ARST NTEX
Opp Points/Game 69.5 76.3
Opp Effective FG % 49.2% 50.4%
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.3 8.0
Def Rebounds/Gm 23.7 23.5
Blocks/Game 2.6 2.9
Steals/Game 5.1 6.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.3 19.0