Arkansas St at Southern Miss: Recap

Saturday Dec 20, 2025 4:30 pm - Hattiesburg, MS
Odds: Arkansas State by 2, Total Points: 155.5

Matchup Menu: ARST @ USM

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Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Arkansas St ARST 52.2%
USM 47.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
USM +1.5 ARST 49.2%
USM 50.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 156.0 Over 52.5%
Under 47.5%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off ARST -2.3%
USM -2.2%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ARST 79.2 78.8 93
USM 77.9 77.2 86

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ARST USM
Points/Game 81.8 73.9
Avg Score Margin +3.7 -0.9
Assists/Game 15.3 11.2
Total Rebounds/Gm 41.8 35.9
Effective FG % 51.7% 49.0%
Off Rebound % 37.8% 30.8%
FTA/FGA 0.391 0.432
Turnover % 16.6% 15.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ARST USM
Opp Points/Game 78.0 74.8
Opp Effective FG % 50.3% 51.4%
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.8 9.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 26.3 22.8
Blocks/Game 2.8 3.6
Steals/Game 7.2 7.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.9 19.4