Arkansas St at Coastal Car: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 18, 2020 2:00 pm - Conway, SC
Odds: Coastal Carolina by 8, Total Points: 145.5

More Games From Jan 18, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARST CCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ARST CCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 62.6
Field Goal % 35.7% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 39.0% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.6% 42.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.0 18.3
Free Throw % 65.8% 81.2%
Ball Control ARST CCU
Rebounds 33.8 41.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 13.0
Turnovers 13.4 11.4
Blocked Shots 1.9 5.6
Steals 5.0 8.5
Fouls 15.2 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARST CCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ARST CCU
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 18.3% 25.1%
Player Fouled 23.3% 20.6%
Turnover 18.3% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARST CCU
Shot Blocked 9.0% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 36.9%