Arkansas St at Texas St: Recap

Wednesday Dec 17, 2025 8:30 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Arkansas State by 5, Total Points: 151.5

Matchup Menu: ARST @ TXST

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Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Arkansas St ARST 66.2%
TXST 33.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
TXST +5.0 ARST 49.6%
TXST 50.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 151.5 Over 51.2%
Under 48.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off ARST -0.5%
TXST -2.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ARST 78.5 78.2 89
TXST 73.6 73.2 70

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ARST TXST
Points/Game 80.9 70.8
Avg Score Margin -0.6 -2.8
Assists/Game 14.3 12.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 40.4 35.4
Effective FG % 50.2% 49.3%
Off Rebound % 36.6% 32.9%
FTA/FGA 0.382 0.339
Turnover % 16.8% 17.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ARST TXST
Opp Points/Game 81.5 73.6
Opp Effective FG % 52.5% 52.2%
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.2 9.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.0 22.0
Blocks/Game 2.3 4.0
Steals/Game 7.2 8.7
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.6 18.7