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St Johns vs. Arizona: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 21, 2019 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Arizona by 12, Total Points: 152.5

Matchup Menu: SJU @ ARIZ

More Games From Dec 21, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJU ARIZ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SJU ARIZ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 65.1 61.4
Field Goal % 42.8% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 37.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 26.3
Free Throw % 74.2% 71.0%
Ball Control SJU ARIZ
Rebounds 35.7 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 13.1
Turnovers 10.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.7 2.9
Steals 6.1 7.5
Fouls 17.9 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJU ARIZ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SJU ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 20.0%
Player Fouled 18.5% 23.8%
Turnover 14.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJU ARIZ
Shot Blocked 4.9% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 35.0%