This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

St Johns at Connecticut: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 31, 2011 12:00 pm - Hartford, CT
Odds: Connecticut by 14, Total Points: 136.5

Matchup Menu: SJU @ CONN

More Games From Dec 31, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJU CONN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SJU CONN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 58.6
Field Goal % 37.4% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 44.3 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 40.6% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 36.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 22.1
Free Throw % 74.2% 75.1%
Ball Control SJU CONN
Rebounds 34.8 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 12.0
Turnovers 8.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.1
Steals 4.9 5.3
Fouls 16.1 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJU CONN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SJU CONN
2 Point Attempt 53.3% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 25.8%
Player Fouled 20.3% 23.4%
Turnover 12.5% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJU CONN
Shot Blocked 7.1% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 35.3%