Texas Tech at Kansas St: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Jan 14, 2020 8:00 pm - Manhattan, KS
Odds: Texas Tech by 4, Total Points: 124.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU KSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TTU KSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 47.4 50.2
Field Goal % 49.0% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 58.5% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 28.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 21.1
Free Throw % 75.3% 66.0%
Ball Control TTU KSU
Rebounds 31.9 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 20.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 9.4
Turnovers 15.0 14.8
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.0
Steals 7.8 7.5
Fouls 15.9 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU KSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TTU KSU
2 Point Attempt 37.0% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 24.0%
Player Fouled 27.5% 23.1%
Turnover 21.8% 21.4%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU KSU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 27.1%