Texas Tech at Oklahoma St : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 4, 2012 8:00 pm - Stillwater, OK
Odds: Oklahoma State by 10.5, Total Points: 130

More Games From Jan 4, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU OKST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TTU OKST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 53.9
Field Goal % 44.1% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 32.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 22.0
Free Throw % 71.1% 75.7%
Ball Control TTU OKST
Rebounds 35.3 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.6
Turnovers 12.3 14.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.7
Steals 7.0 5.6
Fouls 16.9 20.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU OKST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TTU OKST
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 24.9%
Player Fouled 28.6% 23.4%
Turnover 17.1% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU OKST
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 30.2%