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Marist at S Florida : Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 14, 2011 7:00 pm - Tampa, FL
Odds: South Florida by 19.5, Total Points: 126

More Games From Nov 14, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST USF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MRST USF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 58.4
Field Goal % 45.9% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 26.9 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 36.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 19.0
Free Throw % 72.3% 72.5%
Ball Control MRST USF
Rebounds 31.0 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 10.5
Turnovers 11.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.4
Steals 4.0 5.4
Fouls 15.5 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST USF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MRST USF
2 Point Attempt 34.8% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 22.8%
Player Fouled 21.3% 22.2%
Turnover 16.8% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRST USF
Shot Blocked 4.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 29.8%