St Fran (PA) at Pittsburgh: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 25, 2020 7:00 pm - Pittsburgh, PA
Odds: Pittsburgh by 16, Total Points: 137

More Games From Nov 25, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFPA PITT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SFPA PITT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 58.0
Field Goal % 36.1% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 40.3% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 40.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 22.7
Free Throw % 60.1% 73.0%
Ball Control SFPA PITT
Rebounds 28.6 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 20.2 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 11.8
Turnovers 12.4 6.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 6.9
Steals 3.5 6.4
Fouls 16.6 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFPA PITT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SFPA PITT
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 30.9%
Player Fouled 19.4% 24.9%
Turnover 18.6% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFPA PITT
Shot Blocked 12.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 36.9%