St Fran (PA) at Lehigh: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 22, 2018 12:00 pm - Bethlehem, PA
Odds: Lehigh by 7, Total Points: 161

More Games From Dec 22, 2018

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFPA LEH
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SFPA LEH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 57.5
Field Goal % 49.1% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 34.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 14.3
Free Throw % 74.7% 72.8%
Ball Control SFPA LEH
Rebounds 33.0 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 8.4
Turnovers 9.8 13.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.2
Steals 7.4 4.0
Fouls 13.6 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFPA LEH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SFPA LEH
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 22.6%
Player Fouled 22.3% 19.1%
Turnover 13.8% 18.4%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFPA LEH
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 25.8%