St Francis PA at Mercyhurst: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Feb 5, 2026 7:00 pm - Erie, PA
Odds: Mercyhurst by 8.5, Total Points: 137.5

Matchup Menu: SFPA @ MERC

More Games From Feb 5, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
St Francis PA +8.5 Official TR Pick St Francis PA 53% odds to cover
St Francis PA +8.5 Power Rating Model St Francis PA 55% odds to cover
St Francis PA +8.5 Decision Tree St Francis PA 54% odds to cover
Mercyhurst -8.5 Similar Games Mercyhurst 52% odds to cover
Mercyhurst -8.5 Predictive Ratings Mercyhurst 57% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record SFPA adv MERC
Season 12-15-1 21-10-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-8-1 14-6-0
Streak W1 W5
Last 5 2-2-0 5-0-0
Last 10 3-5-1 8-2-0
Home 5-6-0 9-4-0
Away 7-9-1 12-6-0

St Francis PA Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Oklahoma +33.0 L by 36 -3.0
11/06 Away TCU +28.0 L by 41 -13.0
11/11 Home Mt St Mary's +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/18 Away Lehigh +10.5 L by 17 -6.5
11/24 Neutral Belmont +21.0 L by 37 -16.0
11/26 Neutral Troy +21.5 L by 10 +11.5
11/29 Home Franciscan University -- W by 25 --
12/01 Away Xavier +27.5 L by 22 +5.5
12/03 Home Penn State Shenango -- W by 59 --
12/07 Away Radford +13.5 L by 33 -19.5
12/14 Away Temple +21.0 L by 28 -7.0
12/17 Away Florida +44.5 L by 41 +3.5
12/20 Home Robert Morris +13.5 L by 9 +4.5
01/02 Home Le Moyne +5.5 L by 26 -20.5
01/04 Home F Dickinson +2.5 W by 3 +5.5
01/08 Away Wagner +7.0 W by 2 +9.0
01/10 Away LIU +15.5 L by 4 +11.5
01/17 Home C Connecticut +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
01/19 Home Stonehill -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
01/23 Home Chicago St -3.5 W by 21 +17.5
01/31 Home New Haven -1.0 L by 12 -13.0
02/05 Away Mercyhurst +8.5 L by 9 -0.5
02/07 Away Le Moyne +7.0 L by 2 +5.0
02/09 Away Chicago St +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
02/12 Away F Dickinson +7.0 L by 7 0.0
02/14 Home Mercyhurst +2.0 L by 15 -13.0
02/19 Home LIU +9.0 L by 2 +7.0
02/21 Home Wagner +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
02/24 Away New Haven +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
02/26 Away Stonehill +4.5 L by 26 -21.5
02/28 Away C Connecticut +8.5 L by 5 +3.5

Mercyhurst Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Northwestern +26.5 L by 23 +3.5
11/06 Away Loyola Chi +21.5 W by 8 +29.5
11/08 Home Penn St.-New Kensington -- W by 51 --
11/12 Away Canisius -2.0 L by 3 -5.0
11/15 Home Morgan St -6.5 W by 14 +7.5
11/20 Away Miami OH +15.5 L by 5 +10.5
11/23 Away Marshall +12.5 L by 9 +3.5
11/30 Away West Virginia +21.5 L by 32 -10.5
12/05 Away Lafayette +3.0 L by 8 -5.0
12/07 Home Bethany (WV) -- W by 29 --
12/13 Away Davidson +12.0 L by 33 -21.0
12/17 Away Syracuse +24.5 L by 14 +10.5
12/20 Home Binghamton -7.5 W by 21 +13.5
01/02 Home F Dickinson -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
01/04 Home Le Moyne -2.5 W by 14 +11.5
01/08 Away LIU +8.5 L by 2 +6.5
01/10 Away Wagner +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
01/17 Home Stonehill -4.0 L by 5 -9.0
01/19 Home C Connecticut -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
01/23 Away New Haven (Pick) W by 4 +4.0
01/25 Home Chicago St -10.5 W by 2 -8.5
01/29 Home New Haven -5.5 W by 19 +13.5
01/31 Away Chicago St -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/05 Home St Francis PA -8.5 W by 9 +0.5
02/07 Away F Dickinson +2.0 L by 3 -1.0
02/12 Away Le Moyne +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
02/14 Away St Francis PA -2.0 W by 15 +13.0
02/19 Home Wagner -4.0 L by 3 -7.0
02/21 Home LIU +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
02/26 Away C Connecticut +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
02/28 Away Stonehill -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/04 Home F Dickinson -3.5 W by 9 +5.5
03/07 Home Stonehill -4.5 W by 5 +0.5