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Mississippi at Alabama: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 4, 2012 8:00 pm - Tuscaloosa, AL
Odds: Alabama by 10.5, Total Points: 125

Matchup Menu: MISS @ ALA

More Games From Feb 4, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MISS ALA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MISS ALA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 64.9
Field Goal % 43.9% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 29.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 39.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 23.3
Free Throw % 73.0% 76.4%
Ball Control MISS ALA
Rebounds 33.0 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 14.5
Turnovers 9.4 10.9
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.5
Steals 7.5 5.7
Fouls 16.3 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MISS ALA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MISS ALA
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 32.1%
Player Fouled 22.6% 21.6%
Turnover 12.5% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MISS ALA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 39.8%