Mississippi at Mississippi St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 17, 2026 8:30 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Mississippi State by 4, Total Points: 148

Matchup Menu: MISS @ MSST

More Games From Jan 17, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Mississippi +4.0 Official TR Pick Mississippi 52% odds to cover
Mississippi +4.0 Power Rating Model Mississippi 66% odds to cover
Mississippi +4.0 Decision Tree Mississippi 53% odds to cover
Mississippi +4.0 Predictive Ratings Mississippi 56% odds to cover
Mississippi St -4.0 Similar Games Mississippi St 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MISS adv MSST
Season 11-20-0 10-21-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-10-0 6-12-0
Streak L1 L5
Last 5 2-3-0 0-5-0
Last 10 3-7-0 3-7-0
Home 4-12-0 4-12-0
Away 7-8-0 6-9-0

Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home SE Louisiana -22.0 W by 30 +8.0
11/07 Home UL Monroe -38.0 W by 21 -17.0
11/11 Home Memphis -9.5 W by 6 -3.5
11/14 Home CS Bakersfield -23.0 W by 22 -1.0
11/18 Home Austin Peay -19.5 W by 7 -12.5
11/25 Neutral Iowa +4.5 L by 5 -0.5
11/26 Neutral Utah -10.0 L by 1 -11.0
12/02 Home Miami -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
12/06 Away St John's +13.5 L by 5 +8.5
12/13 Neutral Southern Miss -13.0 W by 4 -9.0
12/17 Neutral Alabama A&M -20.0 W by 14 -6.0
12/21 Neutral NC State +7.5 L by 14 -6.5
12/29 Home Alcorn St -28.5 W by 36 +7.5
01/03 Away Oklahoma +7.0 L by 16 -9.0
01/07 Home Arkansas +4.0 L by 7 -3.0
01/10 Home Missouri (Pick) W by 7 +7.0
01/14 Away Georgia +11.0 W by 2 +13.0
01/17 Away Mississippi St +4.0 W by 1 +5.0
01/20 Home Auburn +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
01/24 Away Kentucky +11.0 L by 9 +2.0
01/31 Away Vanderbilt +10.5 L by 3 +7.5
02/03 Away Tennessee +13.0 L by 18 -5.0
02/07 Away Texas +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
02/11 Home Alabama +6.5 L by 19 -12.5
02/14 Home Mississippi St -3.5 L by 12 -15.5
02/18 Away Texas A&M +9.5 L by 3 +6.5
02/21 Home Florida +13.5 L by 19 -5.5
02/25 Home LSU -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
02/28 Away Auburn +11.5 W by 6 +17.5
03/03 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
03/07 Home South Carolina -6.5 L by 3 -9.5

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home N Alabama -24.5 W by 24 -0.5
11/10 Neutral Iowa St +5.0 L by 16 -11.0
11/15 Home SE Louisiana -27.5 W by 7 -20.5
11/20 Neutral Kansas St -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/21 Neutral New Mexico -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
11/24 Home New Orleans -24.0 W by 3 -21.0
11/28 Home SMU -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/03 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/07 Neutral San Francisco -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/13 Neutral Utah -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/16 Home LIU -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
12/20 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Home Alabama St -17.5 W by 38 +20.5
01/03 Away Texas +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
01/07 Home Oklahoma -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
01/10 Away Kentucky +10.5 L by 24 -13.5
01/13 Home Alabama +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
01/17 Home Mississippi -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/21 Away Texas A&M +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/24 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
01/28 Away LSU +7.0 W by 14 +21.0
01/31 Away Missouri +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
02/07 Home Arkansas +6.0 L by 20 -14.0
02/11 Home Tennessee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/14 Away Mississippi +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
02/18 Home Auburn +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
02/21 Away South Carolina +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/25 Away Alabama +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
02/28 Home Missouri +1.5 L by 24 -22.5
03/03 Away Florida +20.5 L by 34 -13.5
03/07 Home Georgia +5.5 L by 6 -0.5