This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2016-17 NCAA BB season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2017-18 NCAA BB section, register for a free account.

Arkansas at Connecticut : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 3, 2011 3:15 pm - Hartford, CT
Odds: Connecticut by 12.5, Total Points: 147

More Games From Dec 3, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARK CONN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ARK CONN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 55.0
Field Goal % 39.0% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 41.4% 44.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 22.8
Free Throw % 76.2% 71.6%
Ball Control ARK CONN
Rebounds 36.2 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.9
Turnovers 8.1 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.9
Steals 7.3 3.2
Fouls 16.2 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARK CONN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ARK CONN
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 22.0%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.1%
Turnover 11.5% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 4.5% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARK CONN
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 30.3%