VCU at NC-Wilmgton: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 22, 2012 7:00 pm - Wilmington, NC
Odds: VCU by 10.5, Total Points: 137.5

More Games From Feb 22, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring VCU UNCW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting VCU UNCW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 48.4
Field Goal % 44.1% 36.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 38.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 31.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 20.7
Free Throw % 70.0% 71.6%
Ball Control VCU UNCW
Rebounds 36.7 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 7.3
Turnovers 9.9 16.4
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.2
Steals 8.6 5.1
Fouls 15.9 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VCU UNCW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with VCU UNCW
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 18.9%
Player Fouled 22.7% 22.7%
Turnover 14.2% 23.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 12.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken VCU UNCW
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 21.7%