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Fordham at Duquesne : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 15, 2012 7:00 pm - Pittsburgh, PA
Odds: Duquesne by 14, Total Points: 140.5

More Games From Feb 15, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring FORD DUQ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FORD DUQ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 53.1
Field Goal % 42.0% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 27.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 40.2% 35.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 21.2
Free Throw % 68.3% 66.8%
Ball Control FORD DUQ
Rebounds 36.0 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.0
Turnovers 11.4 15.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.1
Steals 7.9 5.0
Fouls 17.7 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FORD DUQ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FORD DUQ
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 33.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 30.4%
Player Fouled 23.1% 24.0%
Turnover 15.5% 20.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FORD DUQ
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 24.4%