Rhode Island at Geo Wshgtn: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 11, 2012 7:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: George Washington by 7, Total Points: 132

More Games From Jan 11, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI GW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting URI GW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.9 60.9
Field Goal % 45.1% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 37.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 19.6
Free Throw % 66.1% 75.4%
Ball Control URI GW
Rebounds 37.6 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 8.0
Turnovers 9.3 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.4
Steals 4.4 5.7
Fouls 14.1 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI GW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with URI GW
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 32.6%
Player Fouled 19.5% 19.3%
Turnover 12.8% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI GW
Shot Blocked 9.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 22.8%