This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2017-18 NCAA BB season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2018-19 NCAA BB section, register for a free account.

Colorado St vs. San Diego St : Box Score Simulation

Friday Mar 9, 2012 9:00 pm - Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site)
Odds: San Diego St. by 2.5, Total Points: 133.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring COST SDST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting COST SDST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 58.7
Field Goal % 39.5% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 33.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 24.7
Free Throw % 71.9% 71.0%
Ball Control COST SDST
Rebounds 35.4 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 10.9
Turnovers 12.1 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.5
Steals 5.1 5.9
Fouls 18.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COST SDST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with COST SDST
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 28.0%
Player Fouled 21.4% 24.9%
Turnover 16.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken COST SDST
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 30.8%