Loyola-Chi at Kansas St : Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 14, 2011 8:00 pm - Manhattan, KS
Odds: Kansas State by 14.5, Total Points: 133.5

More Games From Nov 14, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LCHI KSST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 46.1 53.6
Field Goal % 46.5% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 34.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 15.9
Free Throw % 72.7% 75.8%
Ball Control LCHI KSST
Rebounds 29.0 28.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 20.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 7.9
Turnovers 14.6 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.7
Steals 5.0 8.9
Fouls 14.5 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LCHI KSST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LCHI KSST
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 26.2%
Player Fouled 25.9% 21.9%
Turnover 22.1% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 13.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LCHI KSST
Shot Blocked 7.0% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 26.3%