Loyola-Chi at WI-Grn Bay : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 3, 2011 8:00 pm - Green Bay, WI
Odds: Green Bay by 8, Total Points: 122

More Games From Dec 3, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LCHI WGB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LCHI WGB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 59.2
Field Goal % 54.6% 36.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.8% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 41.2% 27.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 16.3
Free Throw % 72.7% 74.1%
Ball Control LCHI WGB
Rebounds 37.6 29.9
Rebounds - Defensive 30.5 20.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.1
Turnovers 13.0 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.3
Steals 6.1 7.5
Fouls 13.8 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LCHI WGB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LCHI WGB
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 28.3%
Player Fouled 24.6% 19.0%
Turnover 17.8% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LCHI WGB
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 23.0%