Loyola-Chi at WI-Milwkee : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 1, 2011 8:00 pm - Milwaukee, WI
Odds: Wis.-Milwaukee by 10.5, Total Points: 121

More Games From Dec 1, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LCHI WMI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LCHI WMI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 54.0
Field Goal % 52.4% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 46.7% 29.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 13.0
Free Throw % 74.3% 64.4%
Ball Control LCHI WMI
Rebounds 31.5 28.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 5.1 7.2
Turnovers 11.3 11.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 6.0 5.6
Fouls 12.3 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LCHI WMI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LCHI WMI
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 27.2%
Player Fouled 21.2% 18.5%
Turnover 16.9% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LCHI WMI
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 21.5%