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Wright St vs. Penn St: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 20, 2018 8:30 pm - Cancun, (Neutral Site)
Odds: Penn St. by 5.5, Total Points: 139

Matchup Menu: WRST @ PSU

More Games From Nov 20, 2018

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WRST PSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WRST PSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 59.9
Field Goal % 50.0% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.9 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 39.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 22.7
Free Throw % 75.6% 74.9%
Ball Control WRST PSU
Rebounds 32.5 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 8.8
Turnovers 13.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.5
Steals 5.4 8.3
Fouls 15.8 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WRST PSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WRST PSU
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.5% 27.6%
Player Fouled 21.9% 20.9%
Turnover 17.6% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WRST PSU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 26.7%